Bitcoin Surges to $94K One Day Ahead of Expected Fed Rate Cut
TL;DR
Bitcoin surged past $94,000 ahead of the Fed's expected rate cut, with analysts pointing to defensive trader positioning and spot demand driving the rally. Other cryptocurrencies and crypto-related stocks also saw significant gains.
Key Takeaways
- •Bitcoin price jumped over $94,000, gaining 4% in 24 hours ahead of the Federal Reserve's anticipated rate cut
- •Analysts attribute the surge to 'deeply defensive' trader positioning and signs of seller exhaustion in the market
- •Spot demand appears to be fueling the rally rather than leverage, as price gains outpaced derivatives open interest
- •Other cryptocurrencies like Ethereum, ADA and Chainlink also saw substantial gains alongside crypto-related stocks
- •The positive Coinbase bitcoin premium suggests renewed U.S. investor demand for cryptocurrencies

What to know:
- Bitcoin soared back over $94,000 in morning U.S. action Tuesday.
- The gains came one day of the Federal Reserve's expected rate cut.
- One analyst took note of "deeply defensive" positioning by traders as possibly setting the stage for the bounce.
- Bitcoin soared back over $94,000 in morning U.S. action Tuesday.
- The gains came one day of the Federal Reserve's expected rate cut.
- One analyst took note of "deeply defensive" positioning by traders as possibly setting the stage for the bounce.
What started as a slow U.S. morning on crypto markets has taken a quick turn, with bitcoin BTC$92,329.23 re-taking the $94,000 level.
Hovering just above $90,000 earlier in the day, the largest crypto surged back to $94,000 minutes after 16:00 UTC, gaining more than $3,000 in less than an hour and up 4% over the past 24 hours.
Ethereum's ether ETH$3,303.12 jumped 5% during the same period, while native tokens of ADA$0.4629 and Chainlink LINK$14.25 climbed even more.
The action went down while silver climbed to fresh record highs above $60 per ounce.
While broader equity markets remained flat, crypto stocks followed bitcoin's advance. Digital asset investment firm Galaxy (GLXY) and bitcoin miner CleanSpark (CLSK) led with gains of more than 10%, while Coinbase (COIN), Strategy (MSTR) and BitMine (BMNR) were up 4%-6%.
While there was no single obvious catalyst for the quick move higher, BTC for weeks has been mostly selling off alongside the open of U.S. markets. Today's change of pattern could point to seller exhaustion.
Vetle Lunde, lead analyst at K33 Research, pointed to "deeply defensive" positioning on crypto derivatives markets with investors concerned about further weakness, and crowded positioning possibly contributing to the quick snapback.
Further signs of bear market capitulation also emerged on Tuesday with Standard Chartered bull Geoff Kendrick slashing his outlook for the price of bitcoin for the next several years.
The Coinbase bitcoin premium, which shows the BTC spot price difference on U.S.-centric exchange Coinbase and offshore exchange Binance, has also turned positive over the past few days, signaling U.S. investor demand making a comeback.
Looking deeper into market structure, BTC's daily price gain outpaced the rise in open interest on the derivatives market, suggesting that spot demand is fueling the rally instead of leverage.
The Federal Reserve is expected to lower benchmark interest rates by 25 basis points at its two-day meeting concluding on Wednesday. While the rate cut is largely anticipated by market participants, looser financial conditions with a resilient U.S. economy could help bolster risk appetite on markets.
UPDATE (Dec. 9, 16:55 UTC): Adds detail about price gain versus rise in open interest.
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- Bitcoin markets in Asia are stabilizing but remain structurally weak, with short-term holders dominating supply.
- U.S. ETF flows have shown signs of stabilization, but on-chain activity remains near cycle lows, indicating weak capital inflows.
- Bitcoin and Ether have seen price recoveries driven by spot demand and improved sentiment, while gold is supported by U.S. labor data and Fed rate cut expectations.
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