Tesla may release "unregulated FSD" this year, and the "insiders" have been planning this for three months in advance?
AI Summary2 min read
TL;DR
Tesla may release unsupervised Full Self-Driving (FSD) soon, as market probability surged after a sighting of a driverless Model Y and AI head's comment. A user who bet on this outcome three months ago has seen significant profits.
Tags
TeslaFull Self-DrivingFSDRobotaximarket prediction
According to Mars Finance, on December 15th, PolyBeats monitored the market prediction of "Will Tesla launch unsupervised Full Self-Driving (FSD) before December 31st?". Since its creation on May 30th, the probability has plummeted from a high of 75%, dropping to only 7% as of the morning of December 14th (Eastern Time). However, on the morning of December 14th (Eastern Time), multiple Tesla users tweeted that they had spotted a Tesla Model Y Robotaxi "completely unmanned" in Austin, Texas, autonomously driving. Shortly after, Ashok Elluswamy, Tesla's AI head, retweeted the video and commented "And so it begins!" This was interpreted by the market as a signal that Tesla was about to release unsupervised FSD. Affected by this news, the market probability surged nearly 8 times, soaring to a high of 54%, and is currently at 24%. During this surge, a suspicious user, sanqo, could have profited over 200% but did not change his position at all. He started buying "yes" in this market three months ago, and currently has an average price of 17 cents, representing a 79% profit. His only other trade was a successful bet on "whether Tesla will launch its self-driving Robotaxi service by October 31st," which yielded a 187% profit.