Analysis suggests the S&P 500 may be poised for a "Christmas rally," while Bitcoin faces a crucial seasonal window.

According to Mars Finance, historical data shows that the S&P 500 index tends to rise in the last week of December and the first two trading days of January. A repeat of this pattern could alleviate Bitcoin's current predicament, as it is experiencing its toughest fourth quarter since 2022. Market statistics show that since 2005, the S&P 500 has risen 15 times and fallen only 5 times during the "Christmas rally," with an average gain of 0.58%. However, Bitcoin's "Christmas rally" history has been volatile, with strong rebounds of 33% and 46% in 2011 and 2016 respectively, while other years have seen weak performances, such as a 14% drop in 2014 and a 10% drop in 2021.