Macroeconomic Outlook for Next Week: The situation in Venezuela has deteriorated sharply; the December non-farm payroll report is the most anticipated...
TL;DR
The new year begins with heightened geopolitical tensions following a U.S. military strike in Venezuela and the arrest of President Maduro. Key U.S. economic data, including the December non-farm payroll report, is set to drive market volatility, with multiple Federal Reserve speeches and events scheduled throughout the week.
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PANews , January 3rd - The world remains turbulent at the start of the new year. The tranquility of the Caribbean has been shattered as the United States launched a military strike against Venezuela and reportedly arrested President Maduro. A series of US economic data releases are also poised to trigger market volatility, with the December non-farm payroll report being the most anticipated. This is the first normal month's data released since the end of last year's record-breaking US government shutdown. Here are the key points the market will be focusing on in the new week:
At 1:30 a.m. on Monday, Neel Kashkari, a 2026 FOMC voting member and president of the Minneapolis Federal Reserve, will speak at the American Economic Association.
At 21:00 on Tuesday, Richmond Fed President Barkin, a 2027 FOMC voting member, will deliver a speech.
Tuesday is to be determined. The 2026 Consumer Electronics Show (CES), dubbed the "Tech Spring Festival," will be held in Las Vegas from January 6-9.
At 21:15 on Wednesday, the US December ADP employment figures will be released.
Thursday at 8:30 PM, US Challenger job cuts for December;
At 21:30 on Thursday, the US will release initial jobless claims for the week ending January 3 and the October trade balance.
At 0:00 on Friday, the US Federal Reserve Bank of New York will release its 1-year inflation forecast for December.
At 21:30 on Friday, the US will release its December seasonally adjusted non-farm payrolls and unemployment rate, as well as the US October annualized housing starts and building permits.
At 23:00 on Friday, Neel Kashkari, a 2026 FOMC voting member and president of the Minneapolis Federal Reserve, delivered a welcome address and participated in informal talks at an online conference hosted by the bank.
At 23:00 on Friday, the preliminary readings of the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for January and the preliminary readings of the one-year inflation rate expectations will be released.