Analysis: Increased volatility in US stocks could force the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates.
AI Summary1 min read
TL;DR
Increased US stock volatility from AI optimism concerns could force the Fed to cut rates if it triggers financial instability. While not the base case, the Fed may act early as the real economy heavily relies on Wall Street wealth.
Tags
Federal Reserveinterest ratesstock volatilityfinancial stabilityAI optimism
According to Mars Finance, a Reuters columnist points out that if concerns about excessive optimism surrounding artificial intelligence continue to fester, causing recent market volatility to escalate into more severe shocks, the financial stability risks triggered by a sharp drop in asset prices could force the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates. Of course, this is not the baseline scenario. Traditionally, the Federal Reserve will not intervene to appease the market unless liquidity dries up and market function is impaired. Although market sentiment and performance have clearly deteriorated, a crisis is still far off, especially after last Friday's rebound. But this time, the Federal Reserve may not need to wait until the situation worsens before taking action. The reason is that, according to calculations by many economists, and even some policymakers acknowledging, the health of the "real economy" is more dependent than ever on the wealth of Wall Street. (Jinshi)