Dogecoin surges 7% as a double-bottom break sparks DOGE rally

• Dogecoin surged to $0.126, breaking the $0.121 resistance with significant trading volume.
• The breakout was supported by spot activity, indicating a healthier market move.
• DOGE needs to maintain above $0.1245 to target the next resistance zone at $0.132–$0.134.

Dogecoin climbed to $0.126 as buyers finally cleared the $0.121 resistance band on the strongest volume in weeks, turning what had been a compression zone into a breakout and shifting near-term focus to whether DOGE can hold above $0.124–$0.125.

News background

The move comes as meme tokens attempt to stabilize into year-end/early-January positioning after a bruising December that saw liquidity thin out and spot markets become increasingly reactive to large bursts of flow. In that environment, breakouts tend to be more “all at once” — driven by a few concentrated windows of execution — rather than gradual trend-building.

DOGE also remains a sentiment proxy for the risk-on end of crypto, meaning it often overreacts to changes in positioning as traders rotate between majors and higher beta assets. With leverage having been reduced across parts of the market in recent sessions, DOGE rallies tend to look cleaner when they’re supported by spot activity rather than purely derivatives-driven spikes.

Technical analysis

DOGE rose 6.6% from $0.1185 to $0.1263, breaking through the $0.121 ceiling that had capped multiple prior recovery attempts. The breakout was volume-led: trading activity hit 1.23B tokens, about 183% above the daily average, with the key impulse arriving at 15:00 on Jan. 1, when price pushed to session highs near $0.127.

The structure matters more than the percent move. DOGE appears to have completed a double-bottom style base around $0.120–$0.121, and the breakout above that band shifts that region from resistance into a potential retest zone. The rally also established a clean higher-low sequence into the close and then transitioned into consolidation rather than immediate reversal — typically a healthier breakout profile.

In the last stretch of trading, DOGE held above $0.1245 and consolidated tightly around $0.1264, with the tape showing reduced volatility and declining volume — a sign that selling pressure didn’t immediately reclaim control after the spike.

Price action summary

• DOGE rose from $0.1185 to $0.1263, a 6.6% gain over 24 hours
• The breakout cleared $0.121 resistance on 1.23B volume (about 183% above average)
• Price printed session highs near $0.127 before consolidating
• DOGE held above $0.1245 support into the close, keeping the breakout structure intact

What traders should know

This is now a breakout-and-hold setup rather than a “bounce” setup. The question isn’t whether DOGE can rally — it already did — it’s whether buyers can defend the reclaimed level.

The levels are straightforward:

• If $0.1245–$0.125 holds: DOGE has room to grind toward the next supply zone at $0.132–$0.134, which lines up with the next obvious resistance cluster and the neckline-type area traders will target after a double-bottom break. A clean push through $0.132 would likely pull price toward $0.136 quickly.
• If DOGE loses $0.1245: the breakout risks turning into a failed move, with price likely sliding back into the prior base around $0.121. That becomes the key “make or break” retest.
• If $0.121 fails on a retest: then the rally is likely just a relief move and the market reopens downside risk toward $0.118–$0.109.

Bottom line: the breakout did its job. Now the tape needs to prove it can hold above $0.1245. If it does, upside targets $0.132–$0.136 come into play quickly. If it doesn’t, this becomes a classic failed breakout back into the old range.

• KuCoin recorded over $1.25 trillion in total trading volume in 2025, equivalent to an average of roughly $114 billion per month, marking its strongest year on record.
• This performance translated into an all-time high share of centralised exchange volume, as KuCoin’s activity expanded faster than aggregate CEX volumes, which slowed during periods of lower market volatility.
• Spot and derivatives volumes were evenly split, each exceeding $500 billion for the year, signalling broad-based usage rather than reliance on a single product line.
• Altcoins accounted for the majority of trading activity, reinforcing KuCoin’s role as a primary liquidity venue beyond BTC and ETH at a time when majors saw more muted turnover.
• Even as overall crypto volumes softened mid-year, KuCoin maintained elevated baseline activity, indicating structurally higher user engagement rather than short-lived volume spikes.

• U.S.-listed spot ETFs experienced their worst two-month stretch on record through November-December, with net outflows totaling $4.57 billion.
• Bitcoin's price dropped 20% during this period, reflecting a decline in institutional interest.
• Ether ETFs lost over $2 billion.

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