The Bank of Japan is reportedly planning further interest rate hikes, with some officials believing the neutral interest rate will be higher than 1%.
TL;DR
Bank of Japan officials expect interest rates to exceed 0.75% with more hikes ahead, as the neutral rate is believed to be above 1%, possibly up to 2.5%, with uncertainties in the range.
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According to sources familiar with the matter, Bank of Japan (Odaily) officials believe that interest rates are likely to rise above 0.75% before the end of the current rate hike cycle, suggesting that there may be more rate hikes after next week's increase. These sources stated that officials believe even at 0.75%, the BOJ has not yet reached its neutral interest rate level. Some officials already consider 1% to be below the neutral rate. The sources indicated that even if the BOJ updates its neutral interest rate estimate based on the latest data, it does not currently expect the range to narrow significantly. The BOJ's current estimate for the nominal neutral interest rate range is approximately 1% to 2.5%. The sources also stated that BOJ officials believe the upper and lower limits of this range may themselves contain errors. (Jinshi)