The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in January is 83.9%.
According to CME's "Odaily," the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in January is 16.1%, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 83.9%. By March of next year, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 45.4%, the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 47.7%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut is 6.9%.