The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in January is 95%, while the probability of a rate cut is only 5%.

According to ChainCatcher, citing Jinshi, CME's "FedWatch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in January is 95%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 5%. By March, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 15.4%, the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 84.1%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut is 0.6%.