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Key Highlights
Bitcoin experiences extreme volatility, dropping to -5.65σ, a rare event occurring only four times since 2010, posing challenges for quantitative strategies. 1 post
Polymarket predicts a 74% probability Bitcoin falls to $55,000 this year, with other price targets also assessed amid market downturn. 1 post
Trend Research sells 47,000 ETH (worth $89.29 million) to avoid liquidation, transferring assets to Binance as ETH price faces pressure. 2 posts
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Polymarket predicts the probability of Bitcoin falling to $55,000 this year has risen to 74%.
On February 6th, Polymarket predicted a 74% probability that Bitcoin would fall to $55,000 this year. Additionally, the probability of it falling to $50,000 was temporarily reported at 61%, rising to $100,000 at 43%, and rising to $110,000 at 34%.
Strategy CEO: Bitcoin needs to fall to $8,000 and stay at that price for 5 years before it threatens its debt repayment.
According to Mars Finance, Strategy CEO Phong Le stated during Strategy's Q4 financial results webinar that Bitcoin would need to fall to $8,000 and remain at that level for five to six years before posing a real threat to repaying its convertible debt. Strategy Executive Chairman Michael Saylor als

Gate Pay launches an automatic earn-coin feature, supporting merchants to earn interest on their balances.
According to ChainCatcher, Gate Pay has officially launched its automatic earning feature, providing merchants with a flexible investment service for idle funds in their balance accounts. Without affecting merchants' normal payment collection, settlement, and withdrawal processes, the system will au

Benson Sun: Bitcoin's drop reached a rare -5.65σ, occurring only 4 times in history.
According to Mars Finance, on February 6th, crypto KOL and former FTX community partner Benson Sun posted that Bitcoin experienced an extreme drop this morning. Based on a 200-day retracement period, BTC's drop reached -5.65 standard deviations (σ). The Six Sigma standard in manufacturing means that
Trend Research reports that approximately 47,000 ETH, worth about $89.29 million, were sold in the past 6 hours.
According to Foresight News , @ai_9684xtpa's monitoring indicates that Trend Research continues to deposit 20,000 ETH into Binance. In the past 6 hours, it appears to have sold a total of 47,000 ETH to avoid liquidation, with a total value of $89.29 million. The latest liquidation range is $1,509 to

Data: BTC falls below $65,000
According to Mars Finance, Gate.com data shows that BTC/USDT is currently trading at $64,955.2, down 8.42% in the last 24 hours.
Trend Research has transferred another 20,000 ETH to Binance, with the latest liquidation range at $1,509 to $1,800.
On February 6, according to on-chain analyst Ai Yi (@ai_9684xtpa), Trend Research continued to transfer 20,000 ETH to Binance. In the past 6 hours, it is suspected that 47,000 ETH have been sold to avoid liquidation, with a total value of $89.29 million. The latest liquidation range is $1,509 to $1
Data: BTC total contract open interest decreased by 5.43% in the past 24 hours.
According to ChainCatcher, data from Coinglass shows that the total open interest of BTC futures contracts decreased by 5.43% in the past 24 hours, with a current total open interest of $46.774 billion. Specifically, Binance holds $8.303 billion, OKX holds $3.336 billion, and Bybit holds $4.308 bill
SharpLink Co-CEO: We will continue to focus on improving ETH productivity and creating value for shareholders.
According to Foresight News , Joseph Chalom, co-CEO of ETH treasury firm SharpLink, tweeted, "Bitcoin, Ethereum, and the entire crypto market are experiencing one of the most challenging months in recent years. For many bond and ETF investors, especially those who entered the market after October 10
A certain whale) went long on ASTER at an average price of $1.37 and is now experiencing a paper loss of nearly nine times its initial investment.
According to Mars Finance, on February 6th, HyperInsight monitoring revealed that a long position in ASTER held by a whale address (0xa9c…) on Hyperliquid has been deeply trapped for nearly four months. This position was established on October 15th of last year at an average price of approximately $
Bitunix Analyst: Political Signals Replace Data Window, Risk Assets Enter a Wait-and-See Pricing Phase
On February 6, amid delayed releases of key economic data and a temporary lack of focus in policy guidance, market sensitivity to political events increased significantly. Trump's high-profile public endorsement of Sanae Takashi on the eve of the Japanese presidential election broke with the precede

Bitunix Analyst: Political Signals Replace Data Vacuum as Risk Assets Enter a Wait-and-See Pricing Phase
With the release of key economic data delayed and policy guidance temporarily lacking clarity, market sensitivity to political events has risen noticeably. President Trump’s high-profile public endorsement of Sanae Takaichi ahead of Japan’s election breaks with the long-standing norm of US president

Data: 30.8171 million USDT were detected transferred out of Binance.
According to ChainCatcher, data from Coinglass shows that 30.8171 million USDT was transferred from Binance to an unknown wallet at 14:30 on February 6th.
AI agent infrastructure company Sapiom has raised $15.75 million in funding, led by Accel.
According to Foresight News , AI agent infrastructure company Sapiom has completed a $15.75 million funding round, led by Accel, with participation from Gradient, Array Ventures, Okta Ventures, Menlo Ventures, Anthropic, Coinbase Ventures, Formus Capital, and Operator Collective. Sapiom provides a

Memecoin's market capitalization briefly rebounded to $30 million, a 36% increase in 24 hours.
According to ChainCatcher, GMGN monitoring shows that Buttcoin, the Meme coin on the Solana chain, rose again this morning, with its market value briefly rebounding to $30 million. It is currently trading at $28.6 million, priced at approximately $0.0286, representing a 24-hour increase of 36%, with

Data: Current funding rates on major CEXs and DEXs indicate that the market has once again turned bearish across the board.
According to Mars Finance, Coinglass data shows that Bitcoin's decline continued, briefly touching the $60,000 mark. Current funding rates on major CEXs and DEXs indicate a renewed bearish market sentiment. Specific funding rates are shown in the attached chart. Funding rates are fees set by cryptoc

CryptoQuant analysts: Despite persistent selling pressure, stablecoin inflows to exchanges have doubled to $98 billion.
According to Mars Finance, CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost analyzed that as Bitcoin's price has gradually corrected to around 50% from its all-time high in October, the amount of stablecoins flowing into exchanges is increasing. At the end of December 2025, the weekly average inflow of stablecoins (7-d
Cyber.Fund The Lomashuk linked address transferred 12,458 stETH and 2,566 ETH to Wintermute.
According to ChainCatcher, Lookonchain monitoring indicates that Konstantin Lomashuk (@Lomashuk), a well-known ETH holder and staker, and co-founder of P2P.org and Cyber.Fund, appears to be selling ETH. Two wallet addresses potentially associated with him transferred 12,458 stETH (approximately $23.
ZKP2P, a P2P fiat currency gateway project, has been renamed Peer.
According to Foresight News , ZKP2P, a P2P fiat currency gateway project backed by ZK proofs, has been renamed Peer. The official statement indicates that with the maturation of zero-knowledge technology, its focus has expanded from the technology itself to the users who use it. Peer expresses its l

Spot gold has rebounded to $4,900, recovering nearly $250 from its daily low.
According to Odaily data, spot gold continued its rebound, returning above $4,900 per ounce, a rebound of nearly $250 from the daily low, with a daily increase of 2.5%.

CZ: We are collaborating with more countries to launch their own stablecoins.
According to Mars Finance, on February 6, Binance founder CZ posted on social media that "we are working with more countries to launch their own stablecoins, and all kinds of currencies should be reflected on the blockchain."

Kalshi establishes independent advisory committee to strengthen transaction oversight.
According to Foresight News , prediction market platform Kalshi has established an independent advisory committee. This committee will provide quarterly reports to the company's external legal counsel and publish statistics on suspicious activity investigations. According to a previous report by Fo

A whale that had been "long-term short BTC" cancelled buy the dips$59,138 limit buy order for BTC.
According to Mars Finance, on February 6th, HyperInsight monitoring revealed that a long-term BTC short whale (0x5d2f4) has cancelled its limit buy order at $59,138 on Hyperliquid. This whale entered a 20x leveraged short of buy the dips BTC at $111,499.3. Currently, the short position has been redu

Data: 63.75 BTC were transferred out of Cumberland DRW, worth approximately $4.13 million.
According to Mars Finance, Arkham data shows that at 12:29, 63.75 BTC (worth approximately $4.13 million) were transferred from Cumberland DRW to an anonymous address (starting with bc1q2k6...).

Bitcoin's Ahr999 indicator has fallen below the buy the dips level to 0.27, similar to the levels seen during the FTX crash and the "316" price drop.
PANews reported on February 6th that Coinglass data shows the Bitcoin Ahr999 indicator has dropped to 0.27, significantly below the "buy the dips" level (0.45). The index last fell to this level on June 18th and November 22nd, 2022, and March 16th, 2020, respectively, coinciding with the "ETH crash