Morgan Stanley: Gold's challenge to the dollar's hegemony has "no end in sight."

AI Summary1 min read

TL;DR

Morgan Stanley reports that the US dollar's global dominance is gradually weakening, with gold emerging as its main challenger due to rising central bank holdings and no signs of slowing demand. Policy factors and risk premiums are accelerating de-dollarization trends.

Tags

YMorgan StanleygoldUS dollarde-dollarizationcentral bank reserves

According to Morgan Stanley, the role of the US dollar in the global system is being steadily and gradually weakened, but with limited credible alternative currencies, gold has become the biggest challenger to the dollar in an increasingly multipolar world. Morgan Stanley's Odaily shows that the dollar's international influence has declined across several indicators, including a decrease in its share of central bank foreign exchange reserves and a reduction in its use in corporate and emerging market sovereign debt issuance. Despite this, the dollar still holds the largest share of global reserves, indicating that no truly significant challenger has yet emerged. However, the situation changes when gold is taken into account. Gold's share of central bank assets has risen from approximately 14% to 25%-28%, and this upward trend shows "no signs of slowing down." Risk premiums and hedging activities will continue to put pressure on the dollar while supporting gold demand. Furthermore, policy factors are currently at a "neutral to slightly accelerating" level in their role in promoting "de-dollarization," and the short-term evolution of these policies will determine how far this trend will ultimately go. (Jinshi)

Visit Website